Playoff Scenarios!
Two weeks left to the regular season, and the playoff race couldn't be any hotter. Let's skip the intros and get right to it. Division title scenarios will be written in red, and playoff berth scenarios written in blue.Quick note: remember that the tiebreaker is total point scored in all situations except when two teams are tied for the division championship, when the tiebreakers go: 1. Divisional Record, 2. Head-to-Head record, 3. Most points.
1. Boys of Fall (10-1, 4-0)
Clinched a playoff spot.
Can clinch the Westwood Division and a first-round playoff bye this week with a win plus a Syn City loss.
With a loss this week, can still clinch the division and bye by defeating Syn City in Week 13.
2. The Risen (7-4, 3-1)
Can clinch the Sandridge Division with one win in the next two games, -OR- one loss by Andy's Red Hots in the next 2 games (The Risen vs. Red Hots in Week 13).
Can clinch a playoff spot with one win in the next two games.
Can clinch a playoff spot with two losses, plus ONE of the following:
A. L.A. Ninjas lose twice –AND- The Risen catches the Ninjas in points (The Ninjas currently lead by 2 points)B. Fireseed loses at least once, -OR- The Risen remains ahead of Fireseed in points (currently leading by 100)
C. Andy’s Red Hots lose in Week 12 vs. CheektoWojo
3. The Skyns (6-5, 3-1)
With a win this week: clinches the Crittenden Division and a playoff berth, assuming The Skyns can maintain their point lead over Fireseed (currently 162 points) and Most Murderous (210 points).
With a loss this week: can clinch the Crittenden Division title with Most Murderous win over Fireseed this week, plus an Ice Cold Bruschis win over Most Murderous in Week 13.
Can clinch a playoff berth with two losses, plus ALL of:
-Most Murderous wins vs. Fireseed this week (plus The Skyns maintaining 162-point lead over Fireseed)
-Andy’s Red Hots loses at least one game (plus The Skyns maintains 164-point lead over the Red Hots)4. Syn City (10-1, 3-1)
Clinched a playoff berth.
To realistically clinch the Westwood Division title and a first-round bye in the playoffs, Syn City must win their final two games, due to the unlikelihood of catching the Boys of Fall by 160 points.
With a loss this week, can clinch the Westwood Division and a first-round bye in the playoffs if ALL of the following happen:
A. Boys of Fall lose this week to the C-Men
B. Syn City win vs. Boys of Fall in Week 13
C. Syn City passes Boys of Fall in points (currently trail by 160)
5. L.A. Ninjas (7-4, 1-3)
Eliminated from Westwood Division race.
Can clinch a playoff berth with any ONE of the following:
A. One win in the last two weeks
B. One loss by either Fireseed or Andy's Red Hots in the last two weeks
C. Maintain point lead over either Fireseed (currently leading by 102) or Andy's Red Hots (leading by 104)
6. Fireseed (5-6, 2-2)
Can clinch the Crittenden Division title if Fireseed wins out and The Skyns lose out (Fireseed vs. The Skyns in Week 13).
Realistically cannot win the Crittenden Division title with one loss or with one win by The Skyns, due to unlikelihood of catching The Skyns in points (currently trailing by 162).
With a Week 12 win vs. Most Murderous, can clinch a playoff berth with any ONE of the following:
A. Winning the same number of games as Andy's Red Hots plus maintaining point lead (currently 2 points)
B. Winning more games than Andy's Red Hots
With a Week 12 loss vs. Most Murderous, can clinch a playoff berth with at least one loss by the following teams, -OR- Fireseed finishes ahead of them in total points: Stigs (Fireseed trails by 103), C-Men (Fireseed leads by 75), CheektoWojo (Fireseed leads by 215), and Ice Cold Bruschis (Fireseed leads by 269), -AND- any TWO of the following:
A. Same W-L result in Week 13 as Most Murderous plus maintain point lead over Most Murderous (currently leading by 48)
B. Fireseed's Week 13 win plus Week 13 loss by Most Murderous
C. Andy's Red Hots lose both final games
D. Andy's Red Hots win one of final two games, plus Fireseed maintains point lead over the Red Hots (currently leading by 2 points)
-With two losses, can clinch a playoff berth with ALL of the following:
A. Two losses by Andy’s Red Hots, plus Fireseed stays ahead of the Red Hots in points (currently leads by 2)
B. Most Murderous loss to The Skyns in Week 13, plus Fireseed stays ahead of Most Murderous in points (currently leading by 48)
C. At least one loss by the following teams, -OR- Fireseed finishes ahead of them in total points: Stigs (Fireseed trails by 103), C-Men (Fireseed leads by 75), CheektoWojo (Fireseed leads by 215), and Ice Cold Bruschis (Fireseed leads by 269).
7. Andy's Red Hots (5-6, 2-2)
Can clinch the Sandridge Division by winning both remaining games, plus The Risen losing both remaining games (Red Hots vs. The Risen in Week 13).
Are eliminated from Division title chances with any loss, or any win by The Risen.
Can clinch a playoff spot if any ONE of the following situations:
1. Andy’s Red Hots win 2 games, plus:
A. Fireseed loses once or twice – OR- Fireseed wins twice, plus the Red Hots catch Fireseed in points (the Red Hots currently trail by 2)
2. Andy’s Red Hots win 1 of 2 final games, plus BOTH of:
A. Fireseed loses twice –OR- Fireseed loses once, plus Andy’s Red Hots catches Fireseed in points (A.R.H. currently trails by 2)
B. Most Murderous loses once or twice –OR- Most Murderous wins both remaining games, plus Red Hots maintain point lead over Most Murderous (A.R.H. currently lead by 46)
3. Andy’s Red Hots loses both final games, plus BOTH of:
A. Fireseed loses both final games, plus Red Hots catch Fireseed in points (A.R.H. currently trails by 2)
B. Most Murderous loses both final games –OR- Most Murderous wins one game, plus Red Hots maintain point lead over Most Murderous (A.R.H. currently lead by 46)
C. Stigs, C-Men, CheektoWojo, and Ice Cold Bruschis each lose at least once, or Andy’s Red Hots finishes ahead of all those teams in points (A.R.H. currently trails Stigs by 105, leads C-Men by 72, leads CheektoWojo by 213, and leads I.C.B. by 267)8. Most Murderous (4-7, 2-2)
Can clinch a Crittenden Division title by winning both of the final 2 games, plus The Skyns losing both games.
Can clinch a playoff berth with one of the following scenerios:
1. Most Murderous wins both of the final 2 games, plus BOTH:
A. Fireseed loses both games –OR- Fireseed loses once, plus Most Murderous catches Fireseed in points (Most Murderous currently trails by 48)
B. Andy’s Red Hots lose both games – OR- the Red Hots lose once, plus Most Murderous catches the Red Hots in points (Most Murderous currently trails by 46).
2. Most Murderous wins vs. Fireseed (Week 12) but loses to The Skyns (Week 13), plus BOTH of:
A. Fireseed loses to The Skyns (Week 13) –AND- Most Murderous catches Fireseed in points (Most Murderous currently trails by 48)
B. Andy’s Red Hots loses both remaining games –AND- Most Murderous catches the Red Hots in points (Most Murderous currently trails by 46)
Most Murderous are eliminated from playoff contention with a loss to Fireseed this week.
9. Stigs (3-8, 2-2)
Eliminated from Sandridge Division race.
To clinch a playoff berth, ALL of the following must happen:
A. Must win both remaining games
B. Most Murderous beats Fireseed this week
C. Both Fireseed and Most Murderous lose in Week 13
D. Andy's Red Hots lose final 2 games
E. Stigs maintains point lead over Andy's Red Hots (105 points), Fireseed (103 points), and Most Murderous (151 points) over the final two weeks.
F. C-Men, CheektoWojo, and Ice Cold Bruschis all either lose at least once, -OR- are unable to catch Stigs in the points race (leads C-Men by 177, CheektoWojo by 318, and I.C.B. by 372)
10. C-Men (3-8, 2-2)
Eliminated from Westwood Division race.
To clinch a playoff berth, ALL the following must happen:
A. Must win both remaining games
B. Most Murderous beats Fireseed this week
C. Both Fireseed and Most Murderous lose in Week 13
D. Andy's Red Hots lose final 2 games
E. Must pass all of the following teams in points: Fireseed (currently trailing by 74), Andy's Red Hots (trailing by 72), and Most Murderous (trailing by 26).
F. Stigs, CheektoWojo, and Ice Cold Bruschis all must lose at least once, -OR- C-Men must finish ahead of them in the points race (trails Stigs by 177, leads CheektoWojo by 141, leads Ice Cold Bruschis by 195).
11. CheektoWojo (3-8, 0-4)
Eliminated from Sandridge Division race.
Realistically eliminated from a playoff berth due to the unlikelihood of catching Fireseed by 215 points in best-case scenario during the final 2 weeks.
To clinch a playoff berth, ALL of the following would need to happen:
A. Must win both remaining games
B. Most Murderous beats Fireseed this week
C. Both Fireseed and Most Murderous lose in Week 13
D. Andy's Red Hots lose final 2 games
E. Must pass the following teams in points: Fireseed (currently trailing by 215), Andy's Red Hots (trailing by 213), and Most Murderous (trailing by 167).
F. Stigs, C-Men and Ice Cold Bruschis each must lose at least once, -OR- CheektoWojo finishes ahead of them in points (trails Stigs by 318, trails C-Men by 141, leads I.C.B. by 54)
12. Ice Cold Bruschis (3-8, 1-3)
Eliminated from Crittenden Division race.
Realistically eliminated from playoff berth due to the unlikelihood of catching Fireseed by 269 points during the next two weeks.
To clinch a playoff berth, ALL of the following would need to happen:
A. Must win both remaining games
B. Most Murderous beats Fireseed this week
C. Both Fireseed and Most Murderous lose in Week 13
D. Andy's Red Hots lose final 2 games
E. Would need to catch the following teams in points: Fireseed (currently trails by 269), Andy's Red Hots (trails by 267), and Most Murderous (trails by 221)
F. Would need Stigs, CheektoWojo, and C-Men to each lose at least once, -OR- finish ahead of them in the points race (trails Stigs by 372, CheektoWojo by 54, and C-Men by 195).